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Positive February for Managed Futures

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After a mediocre start of the year on the negative side, the managed futures sector posted a good February that took the Year-To-Date performance into positive territory. All but one of the funds we track in this report posted positive monthly numbers. Managed Futures Performance  

Trend Following: Negative February

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  February 2017 Trend Following: DOWN  -1.96%  /  YTD: -4.73% February was a continuation of the negative start of the year for trend following, with our Wisdom index returning a negative performance. Below is the full State of Trend Following report as of last month. Performance is hypothetical.Chart for February:   And the 12-month chart:

Managed Futures: Negative start of the year

MF Jan-17

Managed Futures started the year mostly on the negative side, with only a few of the funds we follow in this list returning positive performance. Managed Futures Performance  

Trend Following starts 2017 with negative January

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  January 2017 Trend Following: DOWN  -2.84% If December bucked the trend of the last 6 months, January was a continuation of the downward direction seen in the second half of 2016. The index starts 2017 with a negative performance, in the context of global uncertainty, and keeps flirting with the maximum drawdown level. But you […]

Managed Futures: December Up, 2016 Down

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December saw an uptick in performance (+1.10%), but with trend following down in 2016, managed futures ended the year — unsurprisingly, given their correlation to the strategy — in negative territory. The main industry indices ended 2016 in the red (-3.54% on average), and so did the managed futures funds we track on this report, […]

A Decade of Trend Following

VolatilityCurve - decade of trend following

Last year was not a good year for trend following, with many commenting that the performance for the strategy has been declining over the last few years. We decided to look at the performance of the Wisdom State of Trend Following index on a long timeframe, to let the results speak over the long term, […]

Trend Following UP in December, Down in 2016

Wisdom State of Trend Following - December 2016

  December 2016 Trend Following: UP  +1.38%  /  2016: -18.15% December closed 2016 on a slight positive note, avoiding six straight months of negative returns for our State of Trend Following index. An inflection point was felt in the markets towards the close of the year, but this was obviously not enough to offset what has been a […]

Red November for Managed Futures

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This month’s managed futures report is overall negative with only a handful of funds we track showing positive performance for November, with the YTD performance being slightly negative too. Managed Futures Performance  

State of Trend Following Drawdown Levels Comparison

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A couple of months ago, we published a study on the performance of trend following after drawdowns, as the State of Trend Following index was hitting high levels of drawdown (about 2/3 of the historical maximum). We showed that in 80% of cases, the post-drawdown performance is positive, showing that investing in trend following strategies […]

November Fall for Trend Following

Wisdom State of Trend Following - November 2016

  November 2016 Trend Following: DOWN  -2.55%  /  YTD: -19.32% Every month of this second half of the year seems to have a recurring theme and/or unilateral direction, rendering the YTD performance quite clearly negative. November was no different and produced a variation on the same theme, as you can see below. Below is the full State of […]