Trend Following Is Beating the S&P 500 in 2026. Here’s Why.
Through Q3 2026, the SG CTA Index returned about 15.7% versus 11.7% for the S&P 500. Here is why trend following is leading — and what it means for a 60/40 portfolio.
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Insights
Notes on futures, options and hedging from an independent brokerage — written for people who trade, not for search engines.
Managed Futures Brief
The Managed Futures Brief is our weekly roundup of the developments that actually matter to managed futures investors and systematic traders — new execution tools, product…
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The Case for Adding Systematic Futures Strategies to Your Portfolio
Ask most investors why they don’t have a systematic futures allocation, and the answer is rarely “I don’t believe in it.” It’s almost always some version…
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How to Start a CTA (Commodity Trading Advisor): A Practical Guide
Plenty of talented traders reach the same point: they’ve built a strategy that works, friends and family start asking to invest, and they wonder whether they…
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Wrong More Than You’re Right — and Still Winning: The Math of Trend Following
Imagine a trader shows you their record: over the past few years, most of their individual trades lost money. More than half were losers. Your instinct…
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The Edge Isn’t the Signal — It’s the Discipline to Follow It
Ask a room of investors whether trend following works, and most will nod. The idea is intuitive: ride your winners, cut your losers, follow the market…
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Is $5,000 Enough to Trade Futures?
It’s one of the most common questions we hear from people who want to get into futures: is $5,000 enough to start? The honest answer is…
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Regime Shift: How to Recognize When It’s Time to Change Your Trading Strategy
Every trading strategy is a bet on a particular kind of market. Trend following bets that price moves persist. Mean reversion bets that they don’t. Carry,…
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Futures Trading Systems: A Beginner’s Guide to Risks, What Works, and Getting Started
New to investing and curious about futures trading systems? Here's a plain-English introduction — what they are, the real risks (leverage, drawdowns, curve-fitting), what works and what doesn't, and how Wisdom Trading helps clients worldwide research, develop, and execute systems.
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Futures vs. Options for Hedging: How to Choose (With Examples)
Futures and options both hedge price risk, but in fundamentally different ways: futures lock in a price, options buy insurance on it. Here's a clear comparison of the trade-offs — plus two worked examples (a short futures hedge and a protective put) — to help you choose.
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