May CPI hit 4.2%, but it’s an oil shock from the Iran war that’s already reversing as the Strait of Hormuz reopens. Why we think inflation looks transitory — and why the Fed’s next move may be a cut, not a hike.
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May CPI hit 4.2%, but it’s an oil shock from the Iran war that’s already reversing as the Strait of Hormuz reopens. Why we think inflation looks transitory — and why the Fed’s next move may be a cut, not a hike.
If your trend-following system has struggled, you’re in good company — the largest CTA programs faced the same 2025 headwinds. Here’s what the data shows, why the environment was so hostile, and how to navigate it without abandoning a sound process.
When stock markets collapse, most investments bleed together. Bonds, stocks, hedge funds — all moving in lockstep downward. The one exception: managed futures strategies that follow systematic, trend-based trading rules. The Problem with Traditional Diversification For decades, the standard portfolio recipe was simple: 60% stocks, 40% bonds. When stocks fell, bonds were supposed to rise.… Continue reading Crisis Alpha: How Systematic Futures Strategies Profit When Everything Else Suffers
Your edge is the strategy — realizing it is execution. Why systematic futures traders benefit from an experienced, conflict-free broker running their system live.
How broad managed futures indices fared in May 2026 — SG Trend, SG CTA, and SG Short-Term — and the energy-driven reversal, dollar strength, and gold consolidation that drove the spread between styles.
AI generates hundreds of trading strategy variants in minutes — but overfitting is the dominant failure mode in systematic trading, and AI makes the temptation worse, not better. Here’s what real out-of-sample discipline looks like in the AI era.
How we combine AI tools like Claude and ChatGPT with Trading Blox to develop, test, and iterate systematic futures strategies — and the guardrails that keep it from becoming an overfitting machine.
Managed futures account or hedge fund? An honest comparison of structure, liquidity, transparency, fees, and tax treatment — from a 20-year IB.
